Tag Archives: Predictions

Penn State – Michigan State Predictions

Matchup: Penn State Nittany Lions (7-4) @ Michigan State Spartans

Where: Spartan Stadium

When: Saturday, November 27th @ 3:30pm EST

TV: ABC

Believe it or not its already the final week of the regular season, with just a matchup with Michigan State and a potential bowl game to go. The Nittany Lions certainly had higher expectations for this year but this week gives them the opportunity to upset a top ranked Michigan State team and grab their 8th win of the season. Can they go on the road and get the job done? The For the Glory team predicts:

Brandon Musso (7-4)

After a tough week battling a non-covid related sickness that made its way through the team, the Nittany Lions were able to grab a win over Rutgers. With Sean Clifford sidelined after just a few series, we got our first good look at Christian Veilleux and he didn’t disappoint. He managed to spark the offense and lead them through a couple of nice drives that resulted in touchdowns. His play was nice positive to pull from the game as we ponder Clifford’s replacement.

This week it appears as though Clifford will be a full go and will start on the road vs. Michigan State. With that in mind, he seems poised to have a big game through the air as the Spartans are averaging 339.9 passing yards allowed per game. On paper, this appears to be one of their weaknesses to look out for. The key to the game will be Clifford’s ability to exploit that weakness and put points in the board.

Although I’ve offered a brief look at the numbers, I often go by feel for games and I don’t have a good one about this one. Despite the fact that Michigan St. is coming off an absolute blowout at the hands of Ohio State, there always seems to be a strange aura when Penn State travels to East Lansing. There has been no shortage of weird games that haven’t gone the Nittany Lions way. For that reason, I’m predicting that it is a great back and forth game that turns in the Spartans favor at the end after some weird circumstances.

Penn State 24
Michigan State 27

Kraigen Rasalla (7-4)

I have a good feeling about the Nittany Lions this week. The James Franklin extension news finally came out this week and hopefully the roster is back to full health after over 30 players experienced flu-like symptoms during practice and the game against Rutgers last week. I think with a distraction that has surrounded the program throughout the season being a non-factor and a healthier roster, this team comes out and plays a great game against Michigan State. 

The key for Penn State to go into East Lansing to beat Michigan State is simple, slow down Kenneth Walker III. The Spartan running back is the best back in the country and will make an appearance in NYC for the Heisman presentation. But, when I say slow down, I think the Lions have to use the same approach to this game as they did in the Wisconsin game. Let him get 3 or 4 yards and make him really earn them. But, don’t let Walker escape for the big play that could kill Penn State. The Lions didn’t allow that against Wisconsin and came away with a W. If Penn State can stick to that plan, I think they win the game. 

With Michigan State out of Big Ten Championship and CFP contention, this game loses a bit of its luster nationally. But, I think this game is huge for Penn State heading into bowl and recruiting season. 8-4 looks a whole lot better than 7-5. And, I think Penn State gets there behind the arm of a healthy Sean Clifford against a Spartan secondary that got lit up by Ohio State and the continued dominance of this 2021 Penn State defense.

Penn State 31
Michigan State 17

Cory Lestochi (7-4)

The final regular season game of the year. Both teams have locked in their coaches for the future with both MSU’s Mel Tucker and PSU’s James Franklin signing massive contracts for the dedicated future.
Michigan State is coming off a brutal beating at the hands of Ohio State. A game that showed just how week their pass defense is. Will a healthy Sean Clifford be able to exploit it?
On the flip side can the battered Penn State defense that is still recovering from a flu have enough depth to stop Kenneth Walker, who is one of the best backs in the Big Ten?
I think Penn State comes out firing and has the defense to slow down MSU and make them one dimensional. Again, red zone defense being the difference.

Penn State 27
Michigan State 24

Penn State – Rutgers

Matchup: Rutgers Scarlet Knights (5-5) @ Penn State Nittany Lions (6-4)

Where: Beaver Stadium

When: Saturday, November 20th @ 12:00pm EST

TV: BTN

Just like that we are already approaching Penn State’s final home game of the season. It will be Senior Day on Saturday and although this season didn’t go how the Nittany Lions and many of us fans planned, it is still nice to send players like Jahan Dotson off with a win. Greg Schiano and Rutgers is what is standing in their way of win. Can they pull it off? The For the Glory team tells us their predictions.

Brandon Musso (6-4)

I was quite optimistic that Penn State could pull off the upset over Michigan last week but they fell just short. Although it was a loss, I don’t believe Penn State played a bad game. As I always say vs. top ranked teams like Michigan on Saturday, Penn State needs to be perfect. The smallest mistakes are something good teams take advantage of. As was the case against Ohio State, Penn State was right in the game with a good chance at winning the entire way. It came down to just a few mistakes that turned the game in the Wolverines’ favor. 

This week Rutgers comes to town with a much better team that we’ve seen in recent years. Sitting at 5-5, the Scarlet Knights are quite hard to assess. They have played some teams tough but have gotten blown out by others. They got blown out 52-3 at the hands of Wisconsin two weeks ago but are now coming off a 38-3 win over Indiana last week.

This is another matchup where Penn State clearly has the better talent on paper but the question is how they will come out and play. This was the same case against Illinois but we saw Illinois play more inspired and leave Beaver Stadium with the upset win. Can Rutgers do the same? I don’t think that will happen but I do think this will be an ugly game where Penn State wins a close one.

Penn State 24
Rutgers 17

Kraigen Rasalla (6-4)

Somehow, Senior Day is already here and the Lions are taking on a much improved Rutgers team. Though the Scarlet Knights are just 2-5 in conference play, they did just beat Indiana 38-3 and are looking for that elusive 6th win to become bowl eligible. This may seem like a matchup of two teams trending the opposite direction. A Rutgers team hungry to become bowl eligible facing a Penn State team disappointed they are out of NY6 Bowl contention after making one in 2016, 2017, and 2019. I think the Nittany Lions have to watch out for some trickery from Rutgers all day on Saturday. When they played Ohio State, Rutgers was running fake punts and fake field goals with no fear as a heavy under dog. I expect more of that against Penn State this weekend. I think Coach Schiano will have them hungry and ready to go. Although this may be Sean Clifford and Jahan Dotson’s final game at Beaver Stadium, I think the attention needs to go away from them and go to RB Keyvone Lee. Lee finished 2020 as Penn State’s best back and after last week’s strong performance, it’s shaping up to be the same way in 2021. Sean Clifford is a good quarterback. But, asking him to do EVERYTHING on offense is a recipe for a loss no matter who Penn State plays. I think Lee gets involved in the offense and handles full time running back duties and propels Penn State to a win. 

Penn State 31
Rutgers 13

Cory Lestochi (6-4)

Ouch. 
Hard to gauge the interest of this team and its fans heading into Rutgers this weekend. On one side of the coin, it’s Senior Day and although it’s a complicated event due to Covid-19 giving seniors another year of eligibility if they choose, it should provide some sort of motivation to come out and play well.
On the flip side, Penn State has lost four of its last five games and all of a sudden 2020 won’t be alone as far as disappointing seasons go. The Nittany Lions have virtually nothing to play for in the CFB Playoff (not even ranked) and the B1G East race. Meanwhile, Rutgers is sitting at five wins; they need one more to earn bowl eligibility.
After seeing QB Sean Clifford endure a heavy barrage against Michigan, it’s hard to put much stock in the offense when they can’t keep Clifford upright. Still, I think Penn State finds a way to get the win because I will be in attendance and I don’t wanna see a loss.

Penn State 30
Rutgers 3

Penn State – Michigan Predictions

Matchup: Michigan Wolverines (8-1) @ Penn State Nittany Lions (6-3)

Where: Beaver Stadium

When: Saturday, November 13th @ 12:00pm EST

TV: ABC

After a slow start, Penn State played a strong second half to leave Maryland with the first win in over month. They are right back into the thick of it this week as they welcome Michigan to Beaver Stadium. The Wolverines are ranked 6th in the country and boast an 8-1 record with their only loss coming from 7th ranked Michigan State. This will be tough game for the Nittany Lions. How tough? Let the For the Glory team tell you.

Brandon Musso (6-3)

Last week we saw a Penn State team that got off to a slow start but used a great record setting performance from Jahan Dotson to get the win over Maryland. After watching the first half, I felt as though they clearly regressed from the motivated team we saw play at Ohio State. However, to their credit they made some adjustments in the second half and finished strong. 

For me, this is still one of the biggest factors when trying to assess this team. What team will we get from week to week? They are a very good team when they play with a sense of urgency and energy. However when they struggle to get up for a game, the struggles are very visible and you get a team that is very lackluster.

Penn State will now welcome a top 10 Michigan team into Beaver Stadium this week. While it’s still a home game, a top ranked Michigan team normally draws a prime time White Out. However, this one will be a noon game and I think this is a huge factor. Can Penn State come out motivated to upset the Wolverines in the early afternoon? Or will we see a team that feels bad for themselves having fallen completely out of the rankings.

Going by the numbers, you will see Michigan is the superior team. On defense, the Wolverines have averaged just 173.4 passing yards allowed per game. For a Nittany Lion team that lives by the pass, I think it will be a struggle to move the ball. They still haven’t found a consistent rushing game and take away the passing game and you have the recipe for a stagnant offense. This will be key to the game, can the Nittany Lions move the ball against the Michigan defense?

Despite the noon start time, I think Penn State will be motivated for the game and play more like we saw against Ohio State. Nittany Lions play well and win a thrilling upset over the Wolverines.

Penn State 24
Michigan 21

Kraigen Rasalla (6-3)

After a nice bounce back win against Maryland, Penn State gets the opportunity to play spoiler when #6 Michigan comes into town. The Wolverines come in at 8-1 with CFP hopes still on the line. However, even with Penn State unranked, the line on this game has been very tight. Both teams have been favored by 1 point at some point this week. So, safe to say Vegas sees this one going down to the wire. For me, I think Penn State wins it outright. I’m all in on the Lions just on gut feeling. I don’t think Michigan is as good as their record is. More importantly, I don’t think Michigan is as good as the CFP Committee thinks they are, when they ranked Michigan ahead of Michigan State this week, even though the Spartans beat them at home just 2 weeks ago. On the other hand, a win gives the Nittany Lions a sigh of relief and allows them to play better than they showed in the month of October. Penn State wins their 3rd straight meeting against Michigan. 

Penn State 24
Michigan 19

Cory Lestochi (6-3)

Michigan week is here. While perhaps anticlimactic given Penn State’s unranked status, the game this weekend is a pivotal one for both programs. Michigan head coach Jim Harbaugh desperately needs an impressive win for his resume, while Penn State is looking to stay right side up after snapping a three-game losing streak last week.
Michigan’s offense is boasted by two running backs and a relatively decent passing game. They would prefer to run it every play, but have shown the ability to spread the ball around more than previous Michigan teams. 
On defense, they have gotten rid of the strict press man coverage and play a diverse set of zone defenses with multiple looks. Their defensive line is a stout group upfront. 
I think this Penn State offense will benefit from playing this defensive scheme more than previous Michigan defenses because of the outside matchups. If Sean Clifford continues to get healthier and finds his rhythm he could have success against the zone. The question will be whether or not they can find enough rushing attack to keep this defense honest. A defense that has forced more fumbles than interceptions. 
The Penn State defense, although one of the best at preventing red zone scores, has given up a lot of yards this year. The good news is Michigan is one of the worst offenses at converting in the red zone. That will heavily depend on how well the Nittany Lions can stop the run on Saturday. 
Seems like whoever is the home team typically wins in this series (excuse 2020) and I don’t see that changing this week. There is a reason Vegas likes the Lions and I see them getting the job done. 

Penn State 25
Michigan 19

Penn State – Maryland Predictions

Matchup: Penn State Nittany Lions (5-3) @ Maryland Terrapins (5-3)

Where: Maryland Stadium

When: Saturday, November 6th @ 3:30pm EST

TV: FS1

After a tough October that saw the Nittany Lions’ playoff hopes wash down the drain, we finally move into November. Penn State is coming off a loss in Columbus but they played very well and can hopefully take some positives and a little bit of momentum as they start the final stretch of their season. First up in that stretch is a road game in Maryland against the Terrapins. Can they stop their losing skid? The For the Glory team gives their thoughts.

Brandon Musso (5-3)

I have to start by giving Penn State a lot of credit for how they played on the road at Ohio State. If you read my prediction last week, you would know that I was harsh on the Nittany Lions following the horrible loss we saw against Illinois. However, to Penn State’s credit, they looked like a rejuvenated team in Columbus. Against a top team like Ohio State, they played very well and were in the game the entire way with a good shot at winning. In the end, they dropped their third straight game but there was quite a few positives to take from that game.

They now find themselves outside the CFP rankings with a couple big games still on their schedule. First though, they have to get through Maryland which shouldn’t be written off as a win. After three straight losses, Penn State will have to again come out inspired to get back in the win column.

The key to this game is just that. No numbers, no matchups, nothing. Will we see Penn State play as inspired as they did against Ohio State or will we see a repeat of the Illinois game? If we see them play with great energy and inspiration, then they can leave Maryland with a win. I will take a positive approach this week and predict that we will once again see a very good version of this Penn State team. Penn State wins by a touchdown.

Penn State 28
Maryland 21

Kraigen Rasalla (5-3)

Finally, October is over. After a 1-3 month where Penn State went from being legit National Title contenders to out of the CFP Committee’s Top 25, I am sure the Nittany Lions are pleased to flip the calendar to November. However, this week presents a tough matchup in 5-3 Maryland. Last season, the Terps throttled Penn State 35-19 in Happy Valley. This year’s Maryland team brings back QB Taulia Tagovailoa and WR Rakim Jarrett and Dontay Demus. All three had huge games against the Lions this year and after a 38 point outburst last week against Indiana, will be looking to do more of what they did last year against the Lions. 
I think the biggest key this week for Penn State is to start off fast. This could be a 3 and out on defense or a score on offense to start the game. After a tough loss last week against the Buckeyes, making it three losses in a row, I think getting behind early or struggling to find an offensive rhythm would really test this team’s character and make things difficult on Saturday. 
Fortunately for Penn State, Maryland is near the bottom in most defensive categories in the Big Ten, including being dead last in forcing turnovers, something that ailed Penn State against Ohio State. If they avoid the turnovers, I think they take care of business in a bit of a shootout in College Park. 

Penn State 38
Maryland 28

Cory Lestochi (5-3)

The UNRANKED Nittany Lions will head to College Park to face a polarizing Maryland Terrapin squad. Penn State is technically reeling, losing its past three games. But this week looks more promising with a struggling Maryland squad. 
Still, the success of this team heavily weighs on the health of Sean Clifford. And with little run game to support a struggling Clifford the risk of losing is always there. 
Clifford & Co. score enough and the defense plays their best game. 

Penn State 28
Maryland 7

Penn State – Ohio State Predictions

Matchup: Penn State Nittany Lions (5-2) @ Ohio State Buckeyes

Where: Ohio Stadium

When: Saturday, October 30th @ 7:30pm EST

TV: ABC

Penn State is coming off yet another heartbreaking loss. In a major upset, Penn State lost a 9OT thriller against Illinois at Beaver Stadium. Since their BYE week occurred the week before the Illinois loss, the Nittany Lions don’t have much time clear their heads as they are headed out to the Horseshoe for a primetime matchup with the Buckeyes this Saturday. In one of their toughest matchups of the year, can the Nittany Lions turn it around? Find out what the For the Glory team thinks.

Brandon Musso (4-3)

Penn State is coming off one of their worst losses in a long time having capped off a rainy miserable afternoon with a 9 OT loss to a then 2-5 Illinois. It was a sloppy game almost every where you looked. From the stagnant offense with a clearly limited Sean Clifford, to a rushing defense that gave up more than 350 yards. There wasn’t really any positives to pull from that game which appeared to be team playing uninspired football, a common theme for Franklin coached teams following an emotional loss to a top ranked team. 

After a loss like that, Penn State is thrown right back into the thick of it with a road matchup in Columbus against Ohio State. The Buckeyes do have one loss this year, having dropped a game to Oregon early in the season. However, they have since worked their way back to their current No. 5 ranking. This is a tough game as it is every year but Penn States loss last week has kind of rendered it less important than it has been in previous years. 

As much as I want to do my normal preview/prediction where break down some numbers between the two teams, I don’t think this game is going to be close. Last week, Penn State was clearly uninspired and vastly under prepared. If the game taught me anything, it’s that you can run all the numbers and matchups you want, but if you have a team that played like Penn State did on Saturday, then you can throw all those numbers out the window. Illinois 350+ rushing yards is a clear indication of that. 

With Penn State’s playoff hopes now washed down the drain, I really don’t see them playing inspired against Ohio State. Against an elite team like theirs, you need to not only play inspired but you need to be perfect. Is Penn State up for that challenge? …. I say no.

Penn State 10
Ohio State 41

Kraigen Rasalla (4-3)

It’s hard to go into an Ohio State matchup without any excitement but that’s exactly how I am feeling after Penn State lost one of the most embarrassing games in program history to Illinois last week. It wasn’t necessarily the result, teams get upset all the time in college football. But, watching two teams trade failed attempts from the 3 yard line, the ineptitude from the Penn State offense for the entire afternoon, and the inability to stop the run when you know it’s coming made last Saturday much more painful.

 
Now, this week presents the annual biggest challenge of the year, Ohio State. The Buckeyes looked like they were going to take a step back in 2021 after losing QB Justin Fields and struggling with Minnesota, losing to Oregon at home, and having some more struggles with weaker non-conference opponents. But, the Buckeyes are hitting their stride heading into November after beating up on the weaker teams in the Big Ten. 


The Buckeyes lead the country in points per game (49.3) and total yards per game (559.3). CJ Stroud is proving he is having no problems replacing Justin Fields, boasting a 22:3 TD to INT ratio. The receivers are still ridiculously good as Chris Olave and Garrett Wilson are perhaps the best WR duo in the country, yet again. But, the best part of the Buckeyes offense is what could be the banged up Penn State defense’s worst nightmare, TreVeyon Henderson. The true freshman running back is averaging 8.8 yards per rush, which is the best in the country, and is putting himself in the conversation of other great Ohio State running backs already. 


If Ohio State isn’t foolish, they will watch the Illinois game tape and see PJ Mustipher’s injury is leaving a huge hole in the Penn State line and just attack that part of the defense all day long. I think Ryan Day is smart enough to do just that and Ohio State takes care of Penn State at home for their 5th straight victory against the Nittany Lions. 

Penn State 14
Ohio State 37

Cory Lestochi (4-3)

As if these past couple weeks couldn’t get any worse, the Penn State Nittany Lions travel to Columbus, Ohio to play arguably the best team in the conference, the Ohio State Buckeyes. It’s been a tough and dramatic month for Penn State on and off the field. There are questions regarding HC James Franklin potentially leaving (I don’t think it’s gonna happen), the health of QB Sean Clifford, among other distractions.


Yet, we still have a football game on Saturday and Ryan Day & Co. will not be feeling bad for our beloved Nittany Lions. It’s hard to imagine Penn State sleepwalking more than they did in the Illinois game. The effort this Saturday has to be better than the one they displayed last weekend. Right?


Still, effort can only get you so far in a hostile environment against a powerhouse team. The Buckeyes bolster one of the best offenses in the country led by true freshman running back TreyVeone Henderson and a plethora of five star receivers. Although Penn State’s bend but don’t break defense has continued to bail out this team, it’s hard to imagine the wear and tear of a physical season hasn’t finally caught up to them. They almost have to force a couple mistakes from redshirt freshman quarterback, CJ Stroud.


On the other side of the ball, Franklin claims that Clifford is close to 100%, but it’s hard to imagine that’s true when the three-year starter looked closer to 50% last week. If Clifford isn’t able to threaten a mediocre OSU defense with his feet, then I don’t see this off-beat offense keeping pace with their well-oiled machine counterpart.
Penn State is one of the better teams that Ohio State will have played in the past month, as the two teams’ last month couldn’t be more of a juxtaposition. The Buckeyes have been on a tear while the Nittany Lions feel held together by duct tape. I think offensive coordinator Mike Yurcich will find ways to score on this Buckeye defense, but I don’t see a way Penn State wins this game.

Penn State 20
Ohio State 34

Penn State – Illinois Predictions

Matchup: Illinois Fighting Illini @ Penn State Nittany Lions (5-1)

Where: Beaver Stadium

When: Saturday, October 23rd @ 12:00pm EST

TV: ABC

Penn State is coming off a heartbreaking loss in Iowa where they lost their quarterback for an unknown amount of time and their bid for a unbeaten season. With the quarterback situation up in the air, Penn State rolls out of their BYE and are back home for a matchup with Illinois. Find out what the For the Glory team has to say about this one.

Brandon Musso (4-2)

After a timely BYE week to hopefully get Sean Clifford as healthy as possible, Penn State returns to the field this week. They’ll take on the Fighting Illini at Beaver Stadium on Saturday. Illinois comes in with a 2-5 record, having struggled most of the season thus far.

On paper, this is a lopsided matchup. Penn State has superior talent but the quarterback situation will play a big part in how this game goes. As seen at Iowa two Saturdays ago, the Penn State offense is entirely different without Sean Clifford. When I first wrote this, the injury situation was quiet as per usual with James Franklin and Ta’Quan Roberson and Christian Veilleux were splitting first team reps at practice. That all changed on Wednesday night when Clifford was spotted practicing, taking a third of the first team reps. This does suggest that while he may not be out an extended period of time, the fact that he’s taking a third of the reps might mean he may not be ready to play this Saturday.

Looking at the numbers, the Illinois offense and defense are one of the worst in the B1G. They rank last in total yards allowed allowed per game in the B1G. Now like I said, the Penn State quarterback situation will determine how this game goes. With a backup QB, this game will be closer but Penn State will win. With the Clifford starting, this game will be a blowout in Penn State’s favor.

Penn State 34
Illinois 10

Kraigen Rasalla (4-2)

Coming off the much-needed bye week, Penn State will see Illinois come to town for a homecoming matchup. The big question this week is: will Sean Clifford play, and if he does, in what kind of role? We saw him take snaps on Wednesday at practice. He has also been in full pads at practice with a knee brace on, as well. Per usual, Penn State and James Franklin do not discuss injuries too often so I think this is a wait and see until kickoff at noon on Saturday. 
But, even with this huge question mark, I think two weeks of prep will help backup options Ta’Quan Roberson and Christian Veilleux in a major way. In addition, it helps that Illinois is perhaps the weakest team in the Big Ten. The Illini average the least amount of points per game (17.7 PPG) in the Big Ten and placing them 120th nationally. They are second to last in yards per game (313.6 YPG) in the Big Ten, just barely ahead of the vaunted, no-huddle Iowa offense (ok, that was a jab I felt I had to make). 
Illinois has struggled so much that first year coach Bret Bielema essentially called out the roster construction of this team because of the previous staff. He noted that there isn’t an offensive lineman in the 2-deep depth chart that was recruited to Illinois in the last three years doing anything of note for the Illini. Also, he mentioned the QB room is full of transfers, showing the lack of development at the position by the previous staff.


Major questions at those key positions for Illinois make for an easy Penn State victory, even with questions surrounding who will be the starter under center for Penn State on Saturday.

Penn State 31
Illinois 7

Cory Lestochi (4-2)

QB1 Sean Clifford was throwing the ball during Wednesday’s practice and according to head coach James Franklin this wasn’t the first day he had been participating in throwing drills. Even more encouraging is the fact the reps between the three quarterbacks were split into thirds this week, giving me a hunch that we might see Clifford after all. My prediction? Clifford plays until PSU has a 2 touchdown lead, which might happen sooner than later against a mediocre Illinois football team.
Illinois’ defense is allowing 164 rushing yards per game, which is good for 13th in the Big Ten. It shoots up to 180 rushing yards per game allowed against conference opponents. Their passing defense is also 13th in the Big Ten allowing over 250 passing yards per game. It’s safe to say their defense is porous. I am not too worried about the offense getting started whether it is Clifford under center or one of the backups, yes even if it is QB Ta’Quan Roberson.
The reason I am not worried is because Penn State’s defense is going to suffocate Illinois’ offense. Their run game is middle of the road in the Big Ten, but what really has been the problem for them is quarterback play. They are dead last in passing yards per game in the Big Ten. It doesn’t matter if it’s former Rutgers QB, Artur Sitkowski (51.2% completion percentage) or former Michigan QB, Brandon Peters (48.8% completion percentage), the Illinois offense has struggled.
The only weapon the Nittany Lion defense needs to focus on is Isaiah Williams. The former quarterback is the best athlete for Illinois and he can run, catch, and even pass. Don’t be surprised if he has one or two special plays that make you go “who the hell is this guy?”
Still, Penn State rolls

Penn State 31
Illinois 7

Penn State – Iowa Predictions

Matchup: Penn State Nittany Lions (5-0) @ Iowa Hawkeyes

Where: Kinnick Stadium

When: Saturday, October 9th @ 4:00pm EST

TV: FOX

After four straight weeks at home, Penn State finally heads back out on the road and as far as tough road games go, this is one of the toughest Penn State will play this season. They will be headed to Iowa City, Iowa to take on the No. 3 ranked Iowa Hawkeyes. Penn State has had some good history at Kinnick Stadium but they have also had some devastating losses. Can they make 2021 part of the good history on Saturday? The For the Glory team tells you their predictions.

Brandon Musso (3-2)

After a nice win over Indiana last week, Penn State will leave the familiar confines of Beaver Stadium and get back on the road for the first time since their Week 1 win at Wisconsin. They are headed out to Kinnick Stadium to face the Hawkeyes in a matchup between two Top 10 teams. Although we’ve seen Penn State play some tough opponents in Wisconsin on the road and Auburn at home, I think this will be their toughest game thus far.

Kinnick Stadium is a notoriously tough place to play any Iowa team let alone a top nationally ranked team. Penn State has their hands full with this game and with a 4:00pm kickoff, there will be a portion of this game under the lights which further adds to the tough atmosphere. They will need to minimize mistakes and continue to win the turnover battle.

As far as football goes, it is once again going to come down to the Penn State rushing attack. Iowa has a great defense and they are particular good at stopping the run. They have averaged just 87 rushing yards allowed per game this season. If you combine that with the struggles the Penn State running game has had you could foresee a tough game on the ground. I’ve said it before, the Nittany Lions will need to run the ball better to be able to compete with the B1G’s top teams. If they can turn it around this week, they will have a much better chance of coming out of Kinnick with a win.

In the end, if they are going to finally get the run game going, this Hawkeye team isn’t the one that is going to allow it. I think the Nittany Lion offense sputters as they struggle to move the ball on the ground and lose a close one

Penn State 14
Iowa 17

Kraigen Rasalla (4-1)

This week Penn State has a matchup with Iowa that will have the national spotlight as both teams enter the game as top 5 nationally ranked teams. Outside of a small hiccup against Colorado State, Iowa has dominated their schedule, leading to their #3 ranking. In my opinion, Tyler Goodson is one of the best backs in the country. He is highly capable of making plays on the ground and through the air as he has at least 2 catches in each game this season. Last week, he had 2 catches for 85 yards and a TD against Maryland.


Going to the defensive side, the big story with Iowa this year is the turnovers. They are #1 in the land in forcing turnovers at 3.2 per game, thanks to 2.4 interceptions per game, which is also #1. They have 8 defenders with at least one pick and 3 defenders with multiple interceptions, including Riley Moss who has 3 interceptions, 2 going back for touchdowns.


But, I think Penn State wins this game because they have done a great job of avoiding turnovers this season. They average less than one turnover per game this season and are ranked in the top ten in the country in that category. Sean Clifford has done a much better job protecting the football this year and the running backs haven’t lost a fumble, yet. I think an added emphasis on protecting the football helps Penn State win it. James Franklin wants to end every possession with a kick. A punt, a field goal, or an extra point. That will be the message heading into this game to avoid those turnovers.


James Franklin is 4-1 against Iowa, the only loss being the final loss of the 0-5 start to the 2020 campaign. His current 9 game winning streak started following the Iowa game. I don’t see Iowa ending it, though.

Penn State 23
Iowa 13

Cory Lestochi (4-1)

I’ve read, listened, and watched quite a bit of statistics, analytics, and takes on who will win on Saturday. I’ve been to Kinnick for the 2017 last-second win over the Hawkeyes. I know the magic that is bestowed in that stadium.
I also know that James Franklin led teams are 2-0 as a top 10 team heading into Iowa City. They also bring with them numerous players and leaders that have already won there. 
All of the talk has been about the Iowa defense—rightfully so. Let’s spot Iowa 7 points for converting a turnover into points. Then let’s spot them another 3 for playing in that intimidating environment. 
Can QB Spencer Petras lead their offense down the field two additional times? I don’t think they can. Mostly because this Penn State defense is also pretty good (if you haven’t heard), especially in the red zone where they are only giving up TDs to opponents 33% of the time. 
Penn State wins and since it’s Iowa-PSU expect the score to be funky

Penn State 22
Iowa 19

Penn State – Indiana Predictions

Matchup: Indiana Hoosiers (2-2) @ Penn State Nittany Lions (4-0)

Where: Beaver Stadium

When: Saturday, October 2nd @ 7:30pm EST

TV: ABC

Penn State improved to 4-0 last week with an easy win over Villanova but you guessed it, they have another tough one on the schedule this week. In the Nittany Lions annual Stripe Out, the Indiana Hoosiers will come to town for a primetime showdown at 7:30pm EST on Saturday. For now, check out the For the Glory team predictions.

Brandon Musso (2-2)

Last week was a rather uneventful game against Villanova but Penn State won nonetheless. There’s not much more to be said about that game other than the rushing attack still seems to be struggling even against an inferior opponent like Villanova. This will be something to watch as the season progresses because they are going to have to get it going to legitimately compete for a B1G Championship.

As far as this week goes in the Nittany Lions matchup with Indiana, they better be ready for a showdown. Penn State has again drawn the ABC primetime slot meaning yet another hyped up game with much anticipation. Additionally, as much as Franklin will try to downplay it, the vast majority of this Penn State team was on the field when they were dealt a crushing loss on a questionable replay review in Bloomington last year. I have no doubt in my mind there’s quite a few players on the Penn State side hungry for revenge after that loss. I think if you combine that with the energy that will once again fill that stadium for a night game, you have the recipe for some juiced up players ready and focused.

As far as the football itself, Indiana has played a tough schedule thus far, having lost to top ranked teams in Iowa and Cincinnati. I think this is important to look at because it allows you to look deeper into their performances against some of the country’s best. One of the things that stuck out to me in those tough games was Indiana QB Michael Penix Jr. While he was probably the difference in their win over Penn State last year, he has played well below those standards against Iowa and Cincinnati this year. In those games, he has QBR rating of 15.6 and 32.7 respectively. This will be the key to game this week. If Penn State can limit Penix Jr. to those similar numbers, they should be able come out with a win on Saturday.

I think he plays well, but not well enough and Penn State wins a close one that comes down to the wire.

Penn State 28
Indiana 21

Kraigen Rasalla (3-1)

This week calls for a big time revenge game and a Stripe Out at Beaver Stadium as Indiana comes to take on the undefeated, 4th ranked Nittany Lions. The Hoosiers have underwhelmed so far this year, getting blown out by Iowa in the season opener and losing 38-24 to Cincinnati after holding a 14-0 lead in the first half. However, after last season’s opener where Penn State lost in OT to Indiana despite being in control of the game the whole way, I’d expect Penn State to come out with a lot of energy. I think the energy will be especially noticeable after Head Coach James Franklin called his team out for a lackluster practice last week in preparation for Villanova. With ‘Nova being an FCS opponent, I am not surprised with the let down. But, with revenge on the mind and a highly anticipated matchup looming the following week, I think the Nittany Lions come out extremely motivated and beat up on the struggling Hoosiers. 

Penn State 35
Indiana 16

Cory Lestochi (3-1)

Let me preface this by saying I’m a huge Tom Allen fan. What he has been able to do at Indiana is spectacular and miraculous. That being said, a lot of people in the preseason overhyped the Hoosiers.

 
They are struggling mightily on offense, mostly do to the turnover bug. Quarterback, Michael Penix Jr. looks half as good as he did last season.

 
Defensively, they will still be a tough out especially if the Nittany Lions continue to stall in the running game. I wanna see a blowout, but this Indiana team has too much heart and until Penn State shows their dominance in the running game, I think it stays close for the majority of the game. 

Penn State 28
Indiana 14

Penn State – Villanova Predictions

Matchup: Villanova Wildcats (3-0) @ Penn State Nittany Lions (3-0)

Where: Beaver Stadium

When: Saturday, September 25th @ 12:00pm EST

TV: BTN

What another MASSIVE win over the Top 25 Auburn Tigers last week in the White Out! The Nittany Lions improve to 3-0 on the year and currently sit at No. 6 in the AP Poll. The quality of competition will take a bit of drop when the Villanova Wildcats come to town this week but its another game on schedule that Penn State must win. So lets get to it, here’s the For the Glory team’s predictions:

Brandon Musso (1-2)

Last week was another huge win for the Nittany Lions who now have two Top-25 wins on the season and have improved to 3-0. Saturday’s game was as hard fought game as you might see this season and Penn State made the plays they needed to win it.

This Saturday, Penn State stays home but luckily doesn’t have another Power 5-ranked opponent coming to town. They will get a little bit of a break with the Villanova Wildcats. Although on paper Penn State has superior talent, there no reason for the Nittany Lions to take their foot off the gas pedal. It can’t be a let down game because of the opponent you see on the schedule. Keep pushing and play hard to keep the early momentum rolling. 

Villanova comes to also boasting a 3-0 record with some pretty impressive offensive performances. Through those three games, they are averaging 45.3 points and 454.7 total yards per game. It will be a fun and challenging matchup with the Penn State defense that has been very good so far this season. I think this will be the key to the game. If Villanova wants to continue its offense ways they will need to battle, as Franklin calls it, championship level defense. I don’t foresee Penn State having any big issues stopping the Wildcats’ offensive attack and coming out with a comfortable win.

Penn State 45
Villanova 13

Kraigen Rasalla (2-1)

The Nittany Lions have a little bit of a breather this week with Villanova making the trip across the state to come to Happy Valley. The ‘Cats are the last non-conference opponent for Penn State before they resume conference play with Indiana next weekend.

 
We can call the Auburn game the “Sean Clifford Game” where Clifford went 28/32 for 280 yards and seemed to step up at every key moment when Penn State needed it. Because of that and because of the opponent, I think OC Mike Yurcich takes a bit of the load off Clifford against Villanova. Through the first 3 games, Clifford has over 30 passing attempts in 2 of them. The other game was Ball State where he had 29. It’s not that the Nittany Lions haven’t had a balanced attack. They average 32.3 pass attempts and 33 rushing attempts per game. The difference is the passing game has been explosive, while the run game hasn’t found its explosiveness, yet. Noah Cain is averaging just 3.4 yards per carry as the leading ball carrier. I think this is the week where we see multiple runs of over 20 yards from Cain and the deep crew of backfield mates John Lovett, Keyvone Lee, and Devyn Ford. 


Penn State finishes their non-conference schedule by showing they can beat you in yet another way, by being explosive in the run game. 

Penn State 48
Villanova 20

Cory Lestochi (2-1)

We are gonna win. By a lot.

Penn State 55
Villanova 10

Penn State – Auburn Predictions

Matchup: Auburn Tigers (2-0) @ Penn State Nittany Lions (1-0)

Where: Beaver Stadium

When: Saturday, September 18th @ 7:30pm EST

TV: ABC

It’s WHITEOUT WEEK! The most exciting atmosphere in college football is back this week for the first time since 2019 as the No. 22 Auburn Tigers come to State College. It’s still rather early in the season but Penn State is now onto its second opponent that is ranked in the top 25. This huge day will start with College Gameday in the morning leading up to a primetime matchup on national TV! It’s only a few days way now so lets get right to the For the Glory team’s predictions

Brandon Musso (1-1)

Luckily, the Nittany Lions didn’t allow last week’s game to become a let down game and handily dealt Ball State a loss in Beaver Stadium. If last week was a break for them, then they better be ready for yet another tough matchup this week. The No. 22 Auburn Tigers roll into town for a huge matchup that will be the first White Out since 2019. The implications on this game are huge and there are plenty of distractions. The annual White Out always brings quite a bit of attention to State College, including ESPN’s College Gameday that will kick of the day in the morning. The festivities will roll on throughout the day while fans hope the players can block out the distractions and concentrate on another season defining game.

If it’s the White Out then you know a tough opponent is coming to town. Auburn is nationally ranked and on paper, a good team that will provide a tough challenge for Penn State. Through two games though, it’s tough to fully assess the Tigers because they have only played two non-Power 5 teams. Both games were dominate blowouts against inferior teams. This game will provide a full assessment of both teams.

As I said before, it’s really tough to get full assessment of this Auburn team but their first two games have provided some numbers to work from. On defense, they have been stout against the run, averaging just 21.5 rushing yard allowed per game. If Penn State wants to win this game, they need to win upfront and use the rushing attack to get the offense in a rhythm. As far as the Auburn offense, they seem to place an emphasis on their own rushing game. The Penn State secondary has been solid so I’m more worried about the defensive line stopping that rushing game. A win will mean Penn State needs to limit the yards per carry. 4-5 YPC allowed will not get the job done and might see the Tigers slowly run down Penn State as the game goes on.

Despite the small sample size, I think Auburn is a good team and I think Penn State will ultimately drop a close one.

Penn State 28
Auburn 31

Kraigen Rasalla (1-1)

This week, I have two predictions. One, I KNOW will come true. The other, I am fairly confident will come true.


The first one is that this weekend’s whiteout against Auburn will be the craziest crowd in Beaver Stadium history. I was at the first ever “White House” against Notre Dame in ‘07 and the double OT loss to Ohio State in ‘14 and those were insane crowds. I wasn’t at the ‘05 white out against Ohio State, nor the ‘17 and ‘19 white out games against Michigan. But, I’m willing to bet with this being the first whiteout since that 2019 Michigan game and a ranked SEC opponent coming in, this crowd will be absolutely bananas. Book it.


On to the game. Penn State took care of business last week and avoided any trap game conversations. The offense, led by QB Sean Clifford, attacked the Cardinals on the edges and allowed Parker Washington and Jahan Dotson go to work. I expect new OC Mike Yurcich to show this edge attack with screens and rollouts. Then, use those plays to set up deep balls like we saw in the Wisconsin game.


Something I haven’t been able to say in a few years is that I trust Sean Clifford in this game more than I trust Auburn QB Bo Nix. Nix is off to a strong start this year, completing 74 percent of his passes and leading the Tigers to a 2-0 record. However, in his career, Nix is dreadful on the road. He has a completion percentage of 54.5 percent away from Jordan-Hare Stadium, 10 points lower than at Jordan-Hare. His TD:INT ratio is 20:1 at home and 9:10 on the road. Not great! If you are Auburn at least. Yes, the Tigers will count on Tank Bigsby (10 yards per rush in 2021) and Jarquez Hunter (15.1 yards per rush in 2021) to carry the load on the ground. But, if you want to win a big game, you need your QB to make a big play. Based on the numbers, you can’t count on Bo Nix to make the big throw on the road.


Penn State wins, gets their revenge for the 2003 Capital One Bowl, and real chatter begins around the country surrounding them and the College Football Playoff.

Penn State 27
Auburn 17

Cory Lestochi (1-1)

This game has been incredibly difficult to predict for me. The Auburn Tigers come in to Happy Valley for the annual White Out untested with blowout wins over Akron and Alabama State. 


They are led by QB Bo Nix, whose father was the quarterback the only time Penn State beat Auburn (series is tied 1-1). Nix is now in his third season as a starting quarterback and he has yet to fully blossom. The biggest knock on him has been his play on the road where his numbers are drastically worse than when he plays in Jordan-Hare. RB Tank Bigsby is a guy that is gonna cause some problems and they also have a true freshman RB that is quick. 


Defensively, they are athletic and full of talented players. They also possess experience at the linebacker position. 
In a neutral site game, I think this game is a toss-up mostly because there is a lot we don’t know about these teams. Penn State is favored. Penn State has the more impressive resume. Penn State is more battle tested. Penn State is at home, and boast a White Out crowd that is itching to be back in that environment. Most people are predicting a 4-7 point win for Penn State and while my head agrees with them, my heart tells me there is a chance for this thing to snowball into a blowout. I think Auburn’s defense is good enough to prevent that, but I think Auburn’s offense that started slow against Alabama State will be slow again on Saturday. Then, a mistaken-ridden Nix will leave his defense out to dry too many times. I’m going homer pick big time. 

Penn State 34
Auburn 17

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